CHI @ SEA — Week 8, November 2, 2026
Best bet: CHI +3.0 Best book: DraftKings — CHI +3.0 (+100)
Model edge: 3.7 points — the model predicts CHI to win by 0.7, while the market has SEA favored by 3.0. That gap is why CHI +3.0 is the play.
Why:
CHI's offense ranks among the NFL's top rushing units , leading to CHI better by 0.196 EPA/play on rush offense. - CHI better by 0.102 EPA/play on offense over the last six games. - CHI ahead by 5.5% on success rate. - SEA's Zach Charbonnet will make his 2026 debut after tearing his ACL in the divisional round of the playoffs , yet CHI enjoys a 3-day rest advantage (CHI +3 rest).
Injury/Weather: CHI RB Kyle Monangai ruled out for his fourth straight game , while SEA without left tackle Charles Cross, receiver Rashid Shaheed, and RB Velus Jones Jr., with Uchenna Nwosu doubtful —the model accommodates these factors. Seattle forecast shows overcast conditions with no precipitation expected Monday .
Confidence: This pick cleared a 2.5-point edge threshold, indicating a data-driven opportunity above minimum confidence.