San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks 📍 Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | 🕐 6:40 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: New York Knicks -2 (-102) | San Antonio Spurs +1 (-102) - Moneyline: New York Knicks -125 (Bovada) | San Antonio Spurs +116 (LowVig.ag) - O/U: 216.5 (Over -107)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - [New York Knicks]: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3 - [San Antonio Spurs]: 62-20 | Net +8.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 110.4
Last 10 Games: - New York Knicks: Net +16.8 | Off 121.1 | Def 104.2 | ↑ trending (+10.4) - San Antonio Spurs: Net +9.1 | Off 114.4 | Def 105.3 | ~ stable
Rest: - New York Knicks: 2d rest - San Antonio Spurs: 2d rest
Injuries: - [New York Knicks]: None notable - [San Antonio Spurs]: David Jones Garcia (Out - Ankle)
Value Analysis: - New York Knicks: net +6.4 − 0 = +6.4 - San Antonio Spurs: net +8.4 − 0.7 (David Jones Garcia Out, 6 mpg → -0.7) = +7.9 - Edge: +6.4 − (+7.9) = -1.5 → New York Knicks favored by 1.5 pts - Implied spread: -(edge -1.5 + Home court advantage 2.5) = +4.1 - Actual spread: -2.5 → line 1.6 pts cheap on New York Knicks — lean New York Knicks -2.5 - O/U implied total: (121.1 + 114.4) × 0.92 = 216.7 - O/U actual: 216.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks -2 (-102, DraftKings) — Ratings imply +4.1, actual line is -2.5, gap of 6.6 pts — cheap on New York Knicks. San Antonio Spurs lose David Jones Garcia (Out - Ankle), weakening their defense.
- Moneyline: New York Knicks -125 (Bovada) — Ratings strongly favor New York; the ML number is within acceptable range at -125.
- O/U: Over 216.5 (-107, LowVig.ag) — Implied total is 216.7, which closely matches the actual line of 216.5 — lean Over. I'm taking New York Knicks -2 (Spread), Over 216.5 (O/U).