San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks 📍 Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | 🕐 6:40 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: New York Knicks -2 (-102) | San Antonio Spurs +2 (-105) - Moneyline: New York Knicks -125 (Fanatics) | San Antonio Spurs +111 (LowVig.ag) - O/U: 216.5 (Over -102)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3 - San Antonio Spurs: 62-20 | Net +8.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 110.4
Last 10 Games: - New York Knicks: Net +18.1 | Off 121.2 | Def 103.1 | ↑ trending (+11.7) - San Antonio Spurs: Net +9.3 | Off 113.9 | Def 104.6 | ~ stable
Rest: - New York Knicks: 3d rest - San Antonio Spurs: 3d rest
Injuries: - New York Knicks: None notable - San Antonio Spurs: David Jones Garcia (Out - Ankle)
Value Analysis: New York Knicks: net +6.4 − 0 ([none]) = +6.4 San Antonio Spurs: net +8.4 − 0.7 (David Jones Garcia Out, 6 mpg → -0.7) = +7.7 Edge: +6.4 − (+7.7) = -1.3 → San Antonio Spurs favored by 1.3 pts Implied spread: -(edge -1.3 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -3.8 Actual spread: -2.5 → line 1.3 pts steep on San Antonio Spurs — lean New York Knicks -2.5 O/U implied total: (121.2 + 113.9) × 0.92 = 216.3 O/U actual: 216.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks -2 (-102, DraftKings) — Ratings imply -3.8, actual line is -2.5, gap of 1.3 pts — steep on San Antonio Spurs. The Knicks are trending upward and the Spurs have an injury to a key player.
- Moneyline: Not recommended — New York Knicks ML is -125, juice is too steep for value.
- O/U: Over 216.5 (-102, LowVig.ag) — Implied total is 216.3, which roughly matches the actual line of 216.5 — lean Over.
I'm taking New York Knicks -2 (Spread), Over 216.5 (O/U).