San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks 📍 Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | 🕐 6:40 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: San Antonio Spurs -6 (-106) | New York Knicks +5 (-102) - Moneyline: San Antonio Spurs -218 | New York Knicks +195 - O/U: 216.0 (Over -110)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - [San Antonio Spurs]: 62-20 | Net +8.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 110.4 - [New York Knicks]: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3
Last 10 Games: - San Antonio Spurs: Net +9.9 | Off 114.4 | Def 104.5 | ↑ trending (+1.5) - New York Knicks: Net +19.1 | Off 122.0 | Def 102.9 | ↑ trending (+12.7)
Rest: - San Antonio Spurs: 2d rest - New York Knicks: 2d rest
Injuries: - San Antonio Spurs: David Jones Garcia (Out - Ankle) - New York Knicks: Mitchell Robinson (Day-To-Day - Finger)
Value Analysis: - [San Antonio Spurs]: net +8.4 − 0.7 ([David Jones Garcia Out]) = +8.2 - [New York Knicks]: net +6.4 − 0 (+Mitchell Robinson Doubtful) = +6.4 - Edge: +8.2 − (+6.4) = +1.8 → San Antonio Spurs favored by 1.8 pts - Implied spread: -(edge +1.8 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -0.5 - Actual spread: -6.5 → line 6.0 pts steep on San Antonio Spurs — lean New York Knicks +6.5 - O/U implied total: (114.4 + 122.0) × 0.92 = 217.5 - O/U actual: 216.0 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks +6.5 (-102, DraftKings) — Ratings imply -0.5, actual line is -6.5, gap of 7.0 pts — steep on San Antonio Spurs. The Knicks are trending upward offensively and defensively in their last 10 games.
- Moneyline: New York Knicks +195 (DraftKings) — +195 is within the acceptable range; ratings strongly favor the Knicks as they show a better L10 net rating than season, implying this line might be overpriced on San Antonio.
- O/U: Over 216.0 (-110, Fanatics) — Implied total is 217.5, which matches closely to the actual line of 216.0 but leans slightly towards a higher scoring game due to both teams trending offensively in their last 10 games. I'm taking New York Knicks +6.5 (Spread), Over 216.0 (O/U).