Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks 📍 Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | 🕐 6:10 PM MDT
The Line (LowVig.ag & DraftKings): - Spread: New York Knicks -6 (-102) | Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (-105) - Moneyline: New York Knicks -235 (FanDuel) | Cleveland Cavaliers +205 (Caesars) - O/U: 216.0 (Over -107)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - [Home team]: New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3 - [Away team]: Cleveland Cavaliers: 52-30 | Net +4.1 | Off 118.3 | Def 114.1
Last 10 Games: - New York Knicks: Net +18.9 | Off 122.8 | Def 103.9 | ↑ trending (+12.5) - Cleveland Cavaliers: Net +0.2 | Off 112.3 | Def 112.0 | ↓ fading (-3.9)
Rest: - New York Knicks: 2d rest - Cleveland Cavaliers: 2d rest
Injuries: - [Home team]: None notable - [Away team]: None notable
Value Analysis: - New York Knicks: net +6.4 − (no adjustments) = +6.4 - Cleveland Cavaliers: net +4.1 − (no adjustments) = +4.1 - Edge: +6.4 − (+4.1) = +2.3 → New York Knicks favored by 2.3 pts - Implied spread: -(edge +2.3 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -4.8 - Actual spread: -6.5 → line 1.7 pts cheap on New York Knicks — lean New York Knicks -6.5 - O/U implied total: (122.8 + 112.3) × 0.92 = 216.3 - O/U actual: 216.0 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks -6.5 (-102, LowVig.ag) — Ratings imply -4.8, actual line is -6.5, gap of 1.7 pts — cheap on New York Knicks. Cleveland Cavaliers fading by -3.9 in L10 vs season.
- Moneyline: New York Knicks -235 (FanDuel) — -235 is within the acceptable range; ratings strongly favor New York and the line is underpriced.
- O/U: Over 216.0 (-107, LowVig.ag) — Implied total is 216.3, which roughly matches the actual line of 216.0 — lean Over.
I'm taking New York Knicks -6.5 (Spread), Over 216.0 (O/U).